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'Good reason to be wary' about mixing with big unmasked groups of cruise ship passengers

Wednesday, 28 December 2022

Covid-19 modellers say having thousands of people living in close quarters heightens the risk of virus transmission. Pictured here are passengers waiting for shuttles back to their cruise ship in Lyttelton.
Covid-19 modellers say having thousands of people living in close quarters heightens the risk of virus transmission. Pictured here are passengers waiting for shuttles back to their cruise ship in Lyttelton.

The pandemic has given residents of port towns another reason to head for home when flocks of cruise ship passengers disembark en masse.

Even before the advent of Covid-19, there were gripes about swarms of passengers swamping shops, footpaths, cafes and bus services, but now fear of catching the virus has been added to the mix, and Covid experts says there is some justification for that.

Visiting cruise ships must report the number of cases on board when they arrive in port, and again when they leave.

According to Te Whatu Ora Health New Zealand, by mid-December 628 cases had been reported on arrivals and 1781 on departures for vessels carrying just over 68,000 passengers and crew.

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* Mask mandates are back on some cruise ships in New Zealand

Cruise ship tourists from Las Vegas pose with shopping bags in the Christchurch CBD. NZ Cruise Association chief executive Kevin O’Sullivan says spending by passengers and cruise lines may reach $450m this season, well down on $547m in 2020.
Cruise ship tourists from Las Vegas pose with shopping bags in the Christchurch CBD. NZ Cruise Association chief executive Kevin O’Sullivan says spending by passengers and cruise lines may reach $450m this season, well down on $547m in 2020.

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Fast spread

Since the cruise season kicked off in August, the Majestic Princess has twice taken the crown for the highest humber of infections.

Cruise ship passengers exit a public bus service in the port of Lyttelton where some regular commuters have expressed concerns about sharing transport with so many cruise-goers.
Cruise ship passengers exit a public bus service in the port of Lyttelton where some regular commuters have expressed concerns about sharing transport with so many cruise-goers.

On November 8 when the ship docked in Auckland, 180 people were isolating out of 4388 on board, and by the following day in Tauranga, it had risen to 317.

A few days later on arrival in Sydney numbers had soared to 800, affecting almost one in five people aboard.

More recently, on December 5, the departing Majestic Princess reported 307 cases, which represented just under 7% of its 4470 passengers and crew.

Anti cruise ship graffiti in Lyttelton which regularly hosts swarms of cruise ship passengers.
Anti cruise ship graffiti in Lyttelton which regularly hosts swarms of cruise ship passengers.

Covid-19 Modelling Aotearoa lead researcher Dr Emily Harvey says in late November and early December infection rates in the wider community were more like 2%, much lower than on the Majestic Princess where the actual prevalence was likely even higher than 7% because rapid antigen tests (RATs) don’t detect all cases.

What cruise companies are doing

Just before Christmas Harvey says estimated prevalence in the community peaked at around 4% to 5%, and it looks like cruise ships have a lot in common with super-spreading events like multi-day conferences where big groups gather indoors, eating and drinking together.

About 40% of cruises calling at New Zealand ports are part of the Carnival group, including the Princess vessels, and when infections began to climb last month, it reinstated mask-wearing in public spaces where it is difficult to maintain social distancing, and on buses for shore excursions.

In a written response to questions from Stuff, Carnival Australia said 95% of passengers and all crew were vaccinated, and must return a negative test PCR or RAT test before boarding.

Covid-19 sufferers have to isolate for seven days, and antiviral medication is provided free of charge to at-risk passengers.

Close contacts have to test daily before leaving their cabins, wear a mask, and dine and drink in separate areas to other guests.

Port residents flee passenger swarms

P&O Pacific Explorer docked in Auckland's Queens Wharf, marking the return of cruise ships after a long two years (video published August 2022).

Long-time Lyttelton resident Sarah van der Burch​ says when cruise ships initially returned to the port, very few passengers wore masks, but that had improved recently.

She says most locals try to avoid the town centre when passengers disembark in their hundreds, and there were concerns about Covid transmission, as well as wider impacts on the town.

“Once they come in, we go home or go around the fringes where people typically don’t go.”

Christchurch City councillor Sara Templeton raised the issue of over-crowding on public buses with unmasked cruise passengers taking advantage of cheaper fares, and she has had online contact with people in customer service positions convinced they contracted the virus after interacting with cruise passengers.

Partitions stand between tables in a restaurant on a Japanese cruise vessel, the Nippon Maru. Covid-19 modeller Dr Emily Harvey says good ventilation is vital in cruise restaurants and bars where passengers are unmasked, because areas where people talk more loudly are associated with higher rates of transmission.
Partitions stand between tables in a restaurant on a Japanese cruise vessel, the Nippon Maru. Covid-19 modeller Dr Emily Harvey says good ventilation is vital in cruise restaurants and bars where passengers are unmasked, because areas where people talk more loudly are associated with higher rates of transmission.

Keeping safe on board and on shore

Otago University senior lecturer in travel medicine Dr Jenny Visser says medical literature has shown that Northern Hemisphere cruise passengers have in the past “seeded” Southern Hemisphere communities with measles and out-of-season influenza brought with them, and Covid-19 is no different.

She says the threat of spending a good chunk of your holiday confined to a cabin is a big disincentive to test, and there is no way of knowing how many passengers have concealed their ill health to avoid seven days’ isolation.

Celebrity Eclipse in Piopiotahi/Milford Sound where there has been talk of banning cruise vessels from the inner sound to preserve the environment.
Celebrity Eclipse in Piopiotahi/Milford Sound where there has been talk of banning cruise vessels from the inner sound to preserve the environment.

“I know mask-wearing has dropped out of favour in lots of cafes now, but if I was working in a cafe restaurant or shop where there were lots of travellers from cruise ships, then I’d probably put on a mask, and certainly if I was a bus driver driving them around.

“There’s a bit of Covid-washing going on here.

“They [cruise lines] are saying ‘all we need to do is ask people to be vaccinated, tell them to mask up, test them before they come on board, and it’s not going to be a problem’. Well that’s not true.”

Visser will be the resident doctor aboard the NIWA research ship Tangaroa for a six-week voyage to Antarctica in mid-January, and it’s her job to try and keep the 42 people aboard healthy.

That rules out taking anyone who is symptomatic, or classed as a close contact, and nobody boards the ship until they have returned a negative PCR or LAMP test, both regarded as more accurate than RATs.

Mask wearing in public areas will be compulsory, but could be dropped a couple of weeks into the trip if no cases of Covid-19 pop up.

Visser says anyone contemplating taking a cruise needs to weigh up the potential health impact, especially very vulnerable older people.

“A cruise ship is a high-risk situation, you can’t get away from that.

“It’s not just a question of what are my risks of getting Covid, but what are my chances of getting severe Covid, and is a cruise at this point in time worth the risk?”

The fact that 5% of people on some cruise ships are unvaccinated worries Visser because she says herd immunity does not work with Covid-19.

“The idea that if you have enough people vaccinated, it doesn’t matter if there’s a certain percentage unvaccinated.

“With measles, that’s around the 95% mark, but for Covid it needs to be close to 100%.

“There’s no evidence that vaccinating 95% of the population is enough to keep the unvaccinated safe, I'd feel really nervous.”