Greens surge could lift left bloc into government in latest political poll

Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Labour leads National 34% to 29%.

The Greens have risen to 13%.

The left bloc is on 49%, ahead of the coalition’s 47%.

Chris Hipkins leads preferred prime minister on 21%, one point ahead of Christopher Luxon.

More respondents said New Zealand was heading in the wrong direction than the right direction.

A rise in support for the Green Party has helped push the left bloc into a projected parliamentary majority in the latest Talbot Mills poll for Anacta Consulting.

The poll, reported by the NZ Herald and The Post, shows Labour retaining a lead over National despite a decline in its own support.

Labour was down two percentage points to 34%, while National was unchanged at 29%.

The Greens rose to 13%, while NZ First fell two points to 12%.

ACT slipped one point to 6%, Te Pāti Māori increased to 2.6%, and The Opportunity Party rose to 3.3%.

The poll put support for Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori at a combined 49%, ahead of the combined 47% recorded by National, NZ First and ACT.

Based on the poll’s seat projection, Labour would win 42 seats, the Greens 16 and Te Pāti Māori three, giving the left bloc 61 seats if all current parliamentary parties retained representation.

The Greens’ 13% placed them ahead of NZ First’s 12%.

The poll also asked respondents whether New Zealand was heading in the right or wrong direction.

Forty-nine percent said the country was heading in the wrong direction, compared with 41% who said it was heading in the right direction. Ten percent were unsure.

Forty-two percent said they approved of the coalition Government, while 51% said they disapproved.

The preferred prime minister rankings were close.

Labour leader Chris Hipkins was on 21%, while Prime Minister Christopher Luxon was on 20%.

NZ First leader Winston Peters was on 14%, Green co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick on 10%, and ACT leader David Seymour on 6%.

The poll also tested reaction to the Government’s Budget.

Asked whether the Budget would be good or bad for New Zealand overall, 26% said it would be good and 23% said it would be bad.

When asked about their personal circumstances, 27% said the Budget would be bad for them, while 13% said it would be good.

The most popular Budget measure tested was the Government’s $450 million emergency fuel resilience fund, which received 65% approval.

The poll surveyed 1021 adults between June 1 and June 10 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.